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african-economy
17 October 2026· By Mwenendo

Kenya's Economy Grows 5.1% in Q2: Power, Telecoms and Finance Outrun Slower Farming and Construction

Key Highlights

  • Real GDP growth rose to 5.1% in the second quarter of 2026 from 4.9% a year earlier, with electricity and water supply leading the large sectors at 7.7%.
  • Agriculture slowed to 3.5% from 4.0% after the long rains ended early in May, and construction eased to 6.0% from 7.3% a year earlier.
  • Average crude oil prices climbed from KSh 8,748 ($67.44) to KSh 13,548 ($104.45) a barrel over the year, a cost pressure cited alongside global energy market disruption.

Kenya's economy grew 5.1% in the second quarter of 2026, up from 4.9% a year earlier, as electricity, communications, finance and hospitality outpaced a slowdown in farming and construction.

Kenya's Economy Grows 5.1% in Q2: Power, Telecoms and Finance Outrun Slower Farming and Construction

The figures matter because they show growth holding up while the long rains ended early and global energy markets turned volatile.

The Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) said average crude oil prices rose from KSh 8,748 ($67.44) to KSh 13,548 ($104.45) a barrel between the two periods, while the early end of the March to May rains cut expected crop output.

Which sectors carried the quarter

Electricity and water supply led the large sectors with growth of 7.7%, which the bureau tied to more renewable generation and less reliance on thermal plants. Accommodation and food service grew 7.4%, information and communication 7.2% and financial and insurance activities 6.1%.

Transport and storage improved to 4.4% from 3.3% a year earlier. Wind generation rose 13.5% to 469.8 million kilowatt-hours, while thermal generation fell 16.3% to 288.4 million kilowatt-hours. Total electricity sales rose 15.0% to 3,511.6 million kilowatt-hours.

Where growth slowed

Agriculture, forestry and fishing grew 3.5%, down from 4.0% in the second quarter of 2025. Construction slowed more sharply to 6.0% from 7.3%.

Within farming the picture was mixed. Tea output rose 11.1% to 162.6 thousand tonnes from 146.3 thousand tonnes, and coffee exports rose 10.0% to 22,046.4 tonnes. Milk intake fell 3.1% to 263.6 million litres, and fruit exports fell 5.8% to 76,084.0 tonnes.

What manufacturing and industry data show

Factory output was uneven. Cement production rose 10.5% to 2,729.7 thousand tonnes and galvanised sheet output rose 19.7%. Soft drink production rose 15.6% to 174.0 million litres, and sugar output roughly doubled to 211.8 thousand tonnes from 107.3 thousand tonnes. Processed milk output declined.

Company results reflect the same split between recovering and pressured businesses. As Mwenendo earlier reported on how Unga Group lifted profit but booked a second-half loss, cash flow can lag headline gains even when volumes improve.

What it means for households and investors

A faster headline rate does not reach every household equally. Farm incomes depend on rainfall and input costs, and a higher oil price feeds into transport and food bills. Mwenendo's analysis of how the pump pays first when oil jumps explains that chain.

For investors, the data supports a picture of steady expansion led by services and power. Mwenendo also reported that foreign investors net sold KSh 737M of shares in a recent week, a reminder that market sentiment and output data do not always move together.

#GDP
#KNBS
#Kenya economy
#Q2 2026
#agriculture
#electricity

In Summary

Who reported the figures?
The Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS), in its Second Quarter 2026 GDP report.
What did the data show?
Real GDP grew 5.1% in Q2 2026, up from 4.9% in Q2 2025.
When does it cover?
The second quarter of 2026, compared with the same quarter of 2025.
Where was growth strongest?
Electricity and water supply (7.7%), accommodation and food service (7.4%), and information and communication (7.2%).
Why did farming and construction slow?
Agriculture eased to 3.5% after the long rains ended early in May; construction slowed to 6.0% from 7.3%.
How did energy prices figure?
Average crude oil prices rose from US$67.44 to US$104.45 a barrel year on year, amid global energy market disruption.
AI images used for illustration purposes. All news and stories are factual.

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